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Lucknow: The Uttar Pradesh government formed a three-member committee on Sunday, Septembe <a href=https://www.stanley-cups.at>stanley thermosflasche</a> r 8 to probe the building collapse incident that claimed eight lives. According to a press statement, the committee formed on the direction of chief minister Yogi Adityanath will be headed by Sanjiv Gupta, a secretary in the home department, who has been made the panel chairman. Balkar Singh, Secretary of the Housing and Ur <a href=https://www.cups-stanley.es>vaso stanley</a> ban Planning Department, and Vijay Kanaujia, Chief Engineer Central Region , Public Works Department, Lucknow, are the two other members of the committee. Also ReadIn pics 鈥?Building collapse in Lucknow: 07-09-2024 The inquiry committee is expected to investigate the cause of the incident and submit its report to the government as soon as possible, the statement read. Eight people were killed and 28 others were injured when a three-story building collapsed in the Transport Nagar area of Lucknow on Sa <a href=https://www.cup-stanley.pl>stanley termos</a> turday evening. TagsIndia Shivaji Maharaj Uttar Pradesh Yogi Aditya Press Trust of India Follow on Twitter | Posted by Tamreen Sultana | Published: 8th September 2024 7:13 pm IST Facebook X LinkedIn Pinterest Messenger Messenger WhatsApp Telegram Fbky Sultan-ul-Uloom Junior College offers tuition fee discount to meritorious students
Porbandar: The Archaeological Survey of India ASI has filed a police complaint against 19 property owners for unauthorised construction within the 200 metre limit of Mahatma Gandhi birthplace in Kirti Mandir. The ASI Conservation Assistant, Junagadh sub-circle, Harish Jivanlal Dasre, filed the complaint under the Archaeology Department Rules, 1959 and amended Rules, 2010, which state that no new construction can take place without the permission <a href=https://www.cup-stanley-cup.uk>stanley quencher</a> of the ASI within 100 metres and 200 metres of nationally protected monuments. Also ReadAnother Mahatma Gandhi statue <a href=https://www.stanley-cup.es>stanley cup</a> vandalised in Canada Despite being served notice, the property owners continued their construction activities without the required permission. The ASI strict action against the illegal construction is a result of increasing concerns about the conservation of India cultural heritage. The ASI has been actively working towards protecting and preserving India historical monuments and buildings. The accused property owners face serious charges for their actions, and the ASI has urged the public to cooperate in their efforts to safeguard the nation cultural legacy. TagsArchaeological Survey of India construction Mahatma Gandhi Indo-Asian News Service Follow on Twitter | Posted by Neha Khan | Published: 16th April 2023 7:55 pm IST Facebook X LinkedIn Pinterest <a href=https://www.stanley-cup.com.es>stanley taza</a> Messenger Messenger WhatsApp Telegram
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There’s a ‘ghost hurricane’ in the forecast. It could help predict a real one
<a href=https://rutube.ru/video/98e7f1cec0843c1d18fdb14bf1686d96/>гей секс порно</a>
A scary-looking weather forecast showing a hurricane hitting the Gulf Coast in the second half of June swirled around social media this week—but don’t panic.
It’s the season’s first “ghost hurricane.”
Similar hype plays out every hurricane season, especially at the beginning: A cherry-picked, worst-case-scenario model run goes viral, but more often than not, will never come to fruition.
Unofficially dubbed “ghost storms” or “ghost hurricanes,” these tropical systems regularly appear in weather models — computer simulations that help meteorologists forecast future conditions — but never seem to manifest in real life.
The model responsible this week was the Global Forecast System, also known as the GFS or American model, run by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. It’s one of many used by forecasters around the world.
All models have known biases or “quirks” where they tend to overpredict or underpredict certain things. The GFS is known to overpredict tropical storms and hurricanes in longer-term forecasts that look more than a week into the future, which leads to these false alarms. The GFS isn’t alone in this — all models struggle to accurately predict tropical activity that far in advance — but it is notorious for doing so.
For example, the GFS could spit out a prediction for a US hurricane landfall about 10 days from now, only to have that chance completely disappear as the forecast date draws closer. This can occur at any time of the year, but is most frequent during hurricane season — June through November.
It’s exactly what’s been happening over the past week as forecasters keep an eye out for the first storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season.
Why so many ghosts?
No weather forecast model is designed in the exact same way as another, and that’s why each can generate different results with similar data.
The reason the GFS has more false alarms when looking more than a week out than similar models – like Europe’s ECMWF, Canada’s CMC or the United Kingdom’s UKM – is because that’s exactly what it’s programmed to do, according to Alicia Bentley, the global verification project lead of NOAA’s Environmental Modeling Center.
The GFS was built with a “weak parameterized cumulus convection scheme,” according to Bentley. In plain language, that means when the GFS thinks there could be thunderstorms developing in an area where tropical systems are possible – over the oceans – it’s more likely to jump to the conclusion that something tropical will develop than to ignore it.
Other models aren’t built to be quite as sensitive to this phenomenon, and so they don’t show a tropical system until they’re more confident the right conditions are in place, which usually happens when the forecast gets closer in time.
The western Caribbean Sea is one of the GFS’ favorite places to predict a ghost storm. That’s because of the Central American gyre: a large, disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms that rotates over the region and its surrounding water.
<a href=https://rutube.ru/video/98e7f1cec0843c1d18fdb14bf1686d96/>гей секс порно</a>
A scary-looking weather forecast showing a hurricane hitting the Gulf Coast in the second half of June swirled around social media this week—but don’t panic.
It’s the season’s first “ghost hurricane.”
Similar hype plays out every hurricane season, especially at the beginning: A cherry-picked, worst-case-scenario model run goes viral, but more often than not, will never come to fruition.
Unofficially dubbed “ghost storms” or “ghost hurricanes,” these tropical systems regularly appear in weather models — computer simulations that help meteorologists forecast future conditions — but never seem to manifest in real life.
The model responsible this week was the Global Forecast System, also known as the GFS or American model, run by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. It’s one of many used by forecasters around the world.
All models have known biases or “quirks” where they tend to overpredict or underpredict certain things. The GFS is known to overpredict tropical storms and hurricanes in longer-term forecasts that look more than a week into the future, which leads to these false alarms. The GFS isn’t alone in this — all models struggle to accurately predict tropical activity that far in advance — but it is notorious for doing so.
For example, the GFS could spit out a prediction for a US hurricane landfall about 10 days from now, only to have that chance completely disappear as the forecast date draws closer. This can occur at any time of the year, but is most frequent during hurricane season — June through November.
It’s exactly what’s been happening over the past week as forecasters keep an eye out for the first storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season.
Why so many ghosts?
No weather forecast model is designed in the exact same way as another, and that’s why each can generate different results with similar data.
The reason the GFS has more false alarms when looking more than a week out than similar models – like Europe’s ECMWF, Canada’s CMC or the United Kingdom’s UKM – is because that’s exactly what it’s programmed to do, according to Alicia Bentley, the global verification project lead of NOAA’s Environmental Modeling Center.
The GFS was built with a “weak parameterized cumulus convection scheme,” according to Bentley. In plain language, that means when the GFS thinks there could be thunderstorms developing in an area where tropical systems are possible – over the oceans – it’s more likely to jump to the conclusion that something tropical will develop than to ignore it.
Other models aren’t built to be quite as sensitive to this phenomenon, and so they don’t show a tropical system until they’re more confident the right conditions are in place, which usually happens when the forecast gets closer in time.
The western Caribbean Sea is one of the GFS’ favorite places to predict a ghost storm. That’s because of the Central American gyre: a large, disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms that rotates over the region and its surrounding water.
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